Well the “it won’t break 4 to 3” turns out to be fully true. It may actually be 7-0 for Trump. Sick to my stomach, but we (my country) made it through 4 years of him once before… we can do it again. I’m hopeful the senate maintains the 60 vote rule b/c the GOP will have 55 ish but not 60. They will get any judge or cabinet member they want, but hopefully not any law. I know our leader matters more to the other countries than theirs does to us, sorry world.
What’s the chance Biden snaps and declares martial law or something to block Trump from returning to office? If he’s half as paranoid as we are.
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Nah. It’s just Trump who doesn’t want peaceful transitions of power. Biden will follow the law.
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The public knows what’s best, right?
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Yeah, look where that got us. Trump should have been in a jail cell by 2022, Biden’s biggest mistake is not intervening to make sure of that.
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American public, just saying…
None, the only thing a Democrat hates more than winning is being seen as lacking decency.
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As upsetting as the news is to many, I think its worth keeping in mind that the US political system is particularly fraught with issues and problems that seem to be unique to America and its particular model of democracy - gerrymandering, official interferences, and oddities like trying to do automated signature matching on a generation who almost never have to sign their name.
So maybe don’t go on tirades about people deserving it etc when at least 67 million did their best to avoid the outcome, and probably another 60 million would have loved to but simply aren’t allowed to participate. 130 million is a lot of people.
And for those who are personally impacted or essentially targetted in the Project 2025 plan, my sincerest condolences and hopes that you’re able to find safety or remain overlooked.
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The Scholz government has likely just collapsed. The FDP leader Lindner proposed early elections which Chancellor Scholz rejected and he has just sacked Lindner as Finance Minister. FDP pulling the plug on the coalition is likely now. I doubt the CDU/CSU will allow a SPD/Green minority government as they have a massive polling lead. Merz probably wants snap elections to have the CDU/CSU take back the position of governing than wait this governments term out.
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Here are current polling averages. Obviously these can shift once all parties actually start campaigning but if current polls ended up being the final results the CDU/CSU would win easily. A coalition of all the left winged or center-left parties wouldn’t have enough to form a government. Then the firewall against the AFD still stands so they won’t be part of coalition talks. My guess is a new Grand Coalition between the CDU/CSU and SPD or a Black-Green coalition. It seems a Grand Coalition is more likely though.
Another note is Die Linke is going to be dependent on winning enough mandates to win seats as they are likely not going to reach the 5% threshold. They are polling at the lowest point for the party in years though so it may be difficult to pull off. The FDP is also polling at 3.8%. If they don’t rebound in support during the campaign they will probably get completely wiped out and lose all their seats.
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My personal estimation is Die Linke will not make it in because at least one of the current three mandates will not candidate again. FDP probably would have earned some votes if they busted the coalition. Now Scholz pulled them and their chance is gone.
Fact is, nobody wants a Grand Coalition. We had it for too long and I don’t think this little break changed the mind of many. So I guess it will be CDU/CSU and Greens or BSW. The latter are not strong enough currently but they are about to form two state governments and depending on how they do I can imagine (maybe with more gains for the CDU/CSU) they can step in. Because the Green Party is not exactly a favorite partner even though such coalitions happened in the past.
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“We must, we must, we must defeat Trump,” he told US broadcaster CBS News.
Mr Biden said if he had continued his campaign, the presidential contest would have gone “down to the wire”.
“A number of my Democratic colleagues in the House and Senate thought that I was going to hurt them in the races,” he said.
“And I was concerned if I stayed in the race, that would be the topic…”
Did Joe Biden make the right call dropping out of the race?
- Yes
- No
0
voters
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It was, overall, the right call. It just didn’t make any difference.
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I believe so. I think Democrats would have lost this election regardless. But the fact Trump got such a high percentage of the vote in even deep blue states like Illinois or New Jersey shows the election was likely out of reach and decided before he even dropped out. Harris saw a bounce in polls after becoming the nominee while Biden was down massively across the board when he left. Harris probably just softened the blow was the best bet for Democrats under the circumstances. Also Harris bringing back enthusiasm with the Democratic base probably helped some Democrats down ballot not get wiped out. They weren’t in love with Biden or excited to vote so I think had he remained Congress would have swung much more towards Republicans instead of the narrow majority in the House of Representatives Republicans are expected to get.
I think the only way Democrats could have come out of this election the winner would have been if Biden willingly himself decided to retire in 2023 and not seek the nomination allowing an open primary. Then the Democrats would have had to nominate someone who broke with Biden and his unpopularity. Harris had to make a campaign from scratch last minute and had little room or time to separate herself from Biden.
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He needed to get out, but much earlier so a real primary could have happened. Dems may still have lost, but him dropping out last second certainly made things harder.
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Trump is a 78 year old man, he’ll be 82 by the time his term ends in 2029 and even assuming he doesn’t have and wouldn’t go through cognitive decline like the Scranton Wrangler, there’s the stress of being President.
Now, I initially dismissed the idea of JD Vance invoking the 25th as malarkey; why would the GOP backstab Trump and risk angering his cult of supporters? But then I realise that if Trump really, really fucks up and reveals he’s demented or crashes the economy or otherwise, Vance might throw him under the bus. It might even net him some brownie points with the Democrats for finally getting rid of Trump for them.
Will Trump live to see the end of his term in 2029?
- Yes
- No
0
voters
He’s clearly fuelled by dark magic of some kind, he’ll probably make it to 100.
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No way, his blood is pure frying oil judging by the way he looks 
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